Blood test for pregnant women can predict premature birth

A new blood test for pregnant women detects with 75-80 percent accuracy whether their pregnancies will end in premature birth. The technique can also be used to estimate a foetus’s gestational age — or the mother’s due date — as reliably as and less expensively than ultrasound.
Developed by a team of scientists led by researchers at Stanford University, the tests could help reduce problems related to premature birth, which affects 15 million infants worldwide each year. Until now, doctors have lacked a reliable way to predict whether pregnancies will end prematurely, and have struggled to accurately predict delivery dates for all types of pregnancies, especially in low-resource settings.
Stephen Quake, PhD, professor of bioengineering and of applied physics at Stanford, shares senior authorship with Mads Melbye, MD, visiting professor of medicine. The lead authors are former Stanford postdoctoral scholar Thuy Ngo, PhD, and Stanford graduate student Mira Moufarrej.
The tests measure the activity of maternal, placental and foetal genes by assessing maternal blood levels of cell-free RNA, tiny bits of the messenger molecule that carry the body’s genetic instructions to its protein-making factories. The team used blood samples collected during pregnancy to identify which genes gave reliable signals about gestational age and prematurity risk.
“We found that a handful of genes are very highly predictive of which women are at risk for preterm delivery,” said Melbye, who is also president and CEO of the Statens Serum Institute in Copenhagen. “I’ve spent a lot of time over the years working to understand preterm delivery. This is the first real, significant scientific progress on this problem in a long time.”
The gestational-age test was developed by studying a cohort of 31 Danish women who gave blood weekly throughout their pregnancies. The women all had full-term pregnancies. The scientists used blood samples from 21 of them to build a statistical model, which identified nine cell-free RNAs produced by the placenta that predict gestational age, and validated the model using samples from the remaining 10 women. The estimates of gestational age given by the model were accurate about 45 percent of the time, which is comparable to 48 percent accuracy for first-trimester ultrasound estimates.
This is the first real, significant scientific progress on this problem in a long time.
Measuring cell-free RNA in mothers’ blood also could provide a wealth of new information about foetal growth, Ngo said. “This gives a super-high resolution view of pregnancy and human development that no one’s ever seen before,” she said. “It tells us a lot about human development in normal pregnancy.”
To figure out how to predict preterm birth, the researchers used blood samples from 38 American women who were at risk for premature delivery because they had already had early contractions or had given birth to a preterm baby before. These women each gave one blood sample during the second or third trimester of their pregnancies. Of this group, 13 delivered prematurely, and the remaining 25 delivered at term. The scientists found that levels of cell-free RNA from seven genes from the mother and the placenta could predict which pregnancies would end early.
“It’s mostly maternal genes,” Moufarrej said, noting that the genes that predict prematurity are different than those that give information about gestational age. “We think it’s mom sending a signal that she’s ready to pull the ripcord.”
The scientists need to validate the new tests in larger cohorts of pregnant women before they can be made available for widespread use.
The biological mechanism behind preterm birth is still a mystery, but the scientists plan to investigate the roles of the genes that signal prematurity to better understand why it happens. They also hope to identify targets for drugs that could delay premature birth.
Other Stanford authors of the paper are graduate student Keli Liu; postdoctoral scholar Joan Camunas-Soler, PhD; research affiliates Wenying Pan, PhD, Jennifer Okamoto and Norma Neff, PhD; senior research scientist Ronald Wong; Robert Tibshirani, PhD, professor of biomedical data science and of statistics; Gary Shaw, DrPH, professor of pediatrics; and David Stevenson, MD, professor of pediatrics.
This gives a super-high resolution view of pregnancy and human development
Scientists from the Statens Serum Institute in Copenhagen, the University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine and the University of Alabama-Birmingham also contributed to the study.
Quake, Tibshirani, Shaw and Stevenson are members of Stanford Bio-X; Tibshirani, Shaw and Stevenson are members of the Stanford Child Health Research Institute; Quake and Tibshirani are members of the Stanford Cancer Institute; Stevenson is an affiliate of the Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment; and Quake is a member of the Stanford Cardiovascular Institute, Stanford ChHEM-H and the Stanford Neurosciences Institute.
The research was funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, the March of Dimes Prematurity Research Center at Stanford University, the March of Dimes Prematurity Initiative Grant at the University of Pennsylvania and the Chan Zuckerberg Biohub, of which Quake is co-president.
The Chan Zuckerberg Biohub has submitted a patent application for the new technology.
Stanford’s departments of Bioengineering, Applied Physics and Pediatrics also supported the work. The Department of Bioengineering is jointly operated by the schools of Medicine and of Engineering.

Stanford Medicine
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